McCain-Palin closing in on Obama-Biden

There are two Web sites dedicated to predicting the outcome of the electoral college that I like to keep tabs on,www.electionprojection.com and www.electoral-vote.com. The first is run by a Republican and the second is run by a Democrat, but both seem dedicated to providing fair and honest numbers. On September 12, for the first time in this election cycle, Electoral Vote reported that McCain had taken the lead in the electoral college predictions, with McCain holding 270 EVs to Obama’s 268. In today’s update, Election Projection reports that Obama still holds the lead with 273 EVs to McCain’s 265, but that is the closest they have been in EP’s projections so far. The difference is that Electoral Vote is predicting New Mexico for McCain while Election Projection still has it for Obama; the two maps are otherwise identical in state electoral vote outcome.

Perhaps more significantly, EP reports a host of states shifting in McCain’s favor. Previously red states just got redder while blue states grew closer to purple. Even better news for us Washingtonians: for the first time, Rossi has pulled ahead of Gregoire in the gubernatorial race.

Will this week be remembered as a lull in Obama’s march to victory, or the point where the tide turned permanently for McCain? Only time will tell.

Comments

McCain-Palin closing in on Obama-Biden — 4 Comments

pashley1916 on September 15, 2008 at 10:31 AM said:

Not only that, McCain is leading (and gaining) in Independents, by a 12 point margin.
zackc on September 16, 2008 at 10:37 AM said:

I wouldn’t call this thing for McCain yet. Frankly I think the economic woes are going to catch up with them. If things look bleak for Obama 10 days till I’ll worry then. All I know is the Obamaites are mobilizing and registering voters like crazy, and several more states are in play this year, even states thought secure like Indiana and Virginia.
Bridget Jack Meyers on September 16, 2008 at 12:40 PM said:

I’m not as enthusiastic as the “It’s over” man there, I’m cautious in my enthusiasm. I’m a real “it’s not over till it’s over” type. However, I have zero fear of new voters/the youth vote/the black vote mobilizing for Obama to the point of making a difference. Democrats say that’s going to happen every Presidential election, and it never changes.

I’m putting in the proper paperwork to register my mother as a deceased voter, so there’s one less vote for Obama-Gregoire.

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